Presidential poll in Brazil: Lula's candidate Haddad emerging second behind the far-rightist Bolsonaro

In order: Bolsonaro, Ciro Gomes, Marina Silva, Alckmin and Fernando Haddad - Photo: "O Globo" Archives.

Brazilian far-right presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro held a solid lead ahead of the October 7th election following a serious stabbing suffered during a popular rally 10 days ago. However, Workers Party (PT) candidate Fernando Haddad emerged in second place, signaling a potential polarized right-left runoff, a poll (CNT/MDA) showed this Monday morning.

Bolsonaro, who is in the hospital and unable to campaign, has 28,2% of voter support, according to the survey by pollster MDA. Haddad, who replaced imprisoned former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on the ticket last week, had 17,6% in his first showing in an MDA poll.

Haddad’s numbers indicated that Lula, banned from running due to a corruption conviction, was successfully transferring his support to the former São Paulo mayor, who is well placed to face off with Bolsonaro in the second round in late October.

Center-leftist Ciro Gomes had 10,8% of voter intentions and business-friendly candidate Geraldo Alckmin was fourth with 6,1%, while environmentalist Marina Silva trailed with 4,1%.

Perspectives to a posible Runoff

In a runoff, which would be triggered if no candidate wins half of the valid votes, Bolsonaro would defeat all other candidates, except Ciro Gomes, with whom he is statistically tied (37,8% for Ciro, against 36,1% for Bolsonaro), MDA said.

One in four voters are still undecided or say they will annul or leave their ballot blank in Brazil’s most uncertain election in a generation.

Other polls published last week showed Bolsonaro losing a runoff against most other candidates.

The nationwide MDA survey of 2.002 people was carried out for the transportation sector lobby CNT (National Confederation of Transport) between September 12th and 15th and had a margin of error of 2,2%, meaning results could vary that much either way.

Sources: Mercopress Agency, Reuters, Investing.com